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NDA leads in Maharashtra, but 2 in 4 exit polls predict no-consensus assembly

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The ruling Mahayuti will win the 2024 Maharashtra election, two of three exit polls said Wednesday evening, shortly after the close of single-phase voting in the state.


The BJP-Shiv Sena-NCP alliance will emerge the winner with 150-195 seats in the 288-member Assembly, the Matrize and Peoples Pulse exit polls declared. A third poll - P-Marq - predicted a closer fight but still gave the Mahayuti a narrow win, with a score of 147.


The opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi alliance - the Congress and the Sena and NCP factions led by ex-Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray and Sharad Pawar - are predicted to stumble with Matrize and Peoples Pulse giving it a maximum of 130 seats.


The exception is P-Marq, which expects the MVA to get between 126 and 146 seats.


The majority mark in the Maharashtra Assembly is 145.


Health warning: exit polls often get it wrong.

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